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Bliley PM

[Regarding Newark Vital Statistics]

Date: 15 Sep 1977
Length: 2 pages
1000008287-1000008288
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Abstract

Analyzes Newark cancer death rate vital statistics, using state New Jersey Department of Health and National Center for Health Statistics in response to New York Times article about excess cancer deaths. Points out "crude death rates conceal more information than they reveal" because "they do not account for such factors as age, sex, race, etc., each of which affects the magnitude of the relevant rate".

Fields

Type
Letter
Author
Kastenbaum, Marvin A., Ph.D. (TI Statistics Director)
Kastenbaum has knowledge of the Tobacco Institute's and the tobacco industry's participation in the public disinformation regarding the health hazards of tobacco use, the manipulation of nicotine in tobacco products and the marketing of tobacco products to children.
Author (Organization)
Tobacco Institute
Recipient
Holtzman, Alexander (PM Asst General Counsel. 1975-85.)
Copied
Bowling, James Chandler (PM; TI, Corporate Affairs Director & VP; Board of Dir.)
Vice President and Director of Sales at Philip Morris from 1967 to 1976. He was Senior Vice President of PM from 1977 to 1984 and on the Board of Directors from 1971 to 1984. Also worked for the Tobacco Institute. Attempted to improve the image of smoking in the face of negative health news.
Goldsmith
Millhiser, R.R.
Named Organization
National Center for Health Statistics
NCHS
New Jersey Department of Health
New York Times
Keyword
Alaska
Death rates
Heart disease
Lung cancer
Newark vital statistics
Subject
data analysis
demographics
epidemiology
Federal level
Government agencies
State level
tobacco industry structure
board of health

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Page 1: 1000008287 Log in for more options!
])ea~ A.I ex: I think the ]levark, ~ ~ersey rite2 stati;tics need closer sc~atlrty. ~fery self-~s~et~ epid~olo~st ~e that e~de de~h rates concea~ ~re tn~o~lon th&n th~ ~ve~. ~ ~ simply f~e~io~ of the tot~ li~ ~p~ation w~ ~e of a partic~ar ~se~e. ~" a~ ~ crude ~ t~ir n~ Implies in the sense that they do not ~eo~t for such factors ~ ~e, sex, ra~e, etc., each uf w~.eb affects the ~tude of the ~levant ra ~e. A~ these factors come to bea" zn COml~ring '~e death rates in Newark, ~i.j. between 1~5-197~. An increase it, the tota~ l~OpU- ~atic~t lr, ~h.is l~ertod you, d result in reduced rates. A change in the a~e structure (older people moving out; youn~er l~o~fe ~cvin~ in~ ~uid reduce death rates from cancer and heart disease. (Th~s is preclse'.y the reason that vital statistics for A~aska show u~ better than thc~e of exKy other state in the Union.) I a~ ss s~epticaZ a~ the ~. J. State Del>artment of ~lealtb is ~pri~ed a~,~t the n~e~ re~ed in the B~ York Ti~s str~ry. For ex~ple. ~he U.S. ~etion~ ~nter for He~th Statistics re~,r~s ~at ~ deaths from c~cer occurs4 In ~97,0 In ~ark, )lev Jersey. ~at void the ~p~ati,o~ of ~vark have to have been in 29".~ tn y~eld a cancer death rate of 9~,.~ ~r ~00,000 In that year? IO0.OCO ?
Page 2: 1000008288 Log in for more options!
A~ex~-er Holt~, W_mqulre Septe ~b~.r 15, 1977 l~.e two TIt- answer is a~prozi~atelĄ 6Abe,000. Bu~. we are told in the t~e ge~ e~p~ic ~ea ~ferred to ~ ~II~k, l.J.~ ~y the N.C.~.~. l~ ~ the ~ ~e the ~ne c.3ve~d ~n the ~ ]r~'idental]y, the ~.C.B.S. ~ the foll~ h~ers of Jea~hs ~,'.~m I~ c~cer ~n ~e~rk, ~.O.: I~ - I~; 19~0 - 130; ~.'* - ~. Co~,~a~le ~s for deaths ~m all c~cer.~e: 1~,(, - 75~: ~9~0 - 6~; ~97~ - 623. If the ~ula%t3n ~ze, for . ~'l~ever ~a~le ~ Is cove~d, (cl~y or ~t~lttan) were ~tr.L~ .~urtnf the ten ye~s in ques~lon~, then a d~ Łn the rates ..:" .t,~*q ~.~m all c~cers would be o%serwe~ e~le the 1~ e&~cer • 1,,ath :a~e vf, uld re.in stable. If the p~pulatlon size Incrensed ~˘erLal:::) a fe~ibI:e couce~t for ~t~r.olIt~ X~ark) then the • ~(.~t~ rat ~ f,~r a.I, cancers, ~nclu~ l~g e~cer, would decre~e. I~le ~'}ut'-',~n to thls d:ile~ may be in the statistics collected "~:e .'tat.c l~l~,ment ,)f ~ea'.th Is ~n6 those surprised by t~e Since:'el~y, ,~vln A. Kastenba~

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